Making Progress in Space Weather Forecasting


Here at Ensemble, we know space weather has an enormous impact on our terrestrial lives. Not many natural phenomena can simultaneously paint our skies with auroras while also causing the power grids of entire countries to go black.

Despite observing and studying the impacts space weather has on Earth, our understanding of it remains murky. In Filling Space’s article “How Well Can We Forecast Space Weather”, Delores Knipp explains how when it comes to the timing of solar eruptions, determining if the mass and magnetic field from a solar eruption will hit Earth, the orientation of the magnetic field in the plasma ejected from the Solar surface, and how space weather impacts our engineered systems like power grids and satellites, we are still just tapping the surface of our understanding.

Luckily, we are making steady technological progress. Machine learning, such as Ensemble Modeling; a machine learning technique that combines several base models to produce one optimal predictive model, is beginning to be used to help scientists make better predictions on the likelihood of a solar flare hitting Earth. We are also hoping that our technology, Kamodo, will play a crucial role in accelerating our understanding of space weather events by empowering physicists with the ability to build, visualize, and advance compatible and containerized space weather models and data sources.

We love learning about the advancements that are being made to understand space weather’s impact on our societies and systems and are looking forward to seeing how tools such as Kamodo will positively impact the field.

To learn more about the logistics and complications of space weather forecasting, check out Filling Space’s article that was listed earlier in this blog: “How Well Can We Forecast Space Weather”.

To see what the hype around Kamodo is about, learn more here!

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